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CourseGuides.

Every major PGA Tour venue profiled by the model — what stats actually predict winners there, how the course fingerprint translates to betting strategy, and what history tells us year after year.

Zurich Classic · Avondale, LA
TPC Louisiana
Par 72 · 7,425 yards
Archive
#1
SG: Approach
4
Par 5s (all reach)
Team
Format
Key model insight: The only PGA Tour team event. Four-ball and foursomes formats demand two different skill sets. Birdie-making upside wins four-ball. Chemistry and shared equipment win foursomes. Longshots win this event more than any other stop on Tour.
RBC Heritage · Hilton Head, SC
Harbour Town
Par 71 · 7,213 yards
Guide live
#1
SG: Approach
58%
GIR (Tour low)
82
Field size
Key model insight: Short-game and approach course with a position-off-the-tee filter. Smallest greens on Tour at 3,700 sq ft. The market overpays for bombers here every year. Distance is nearly irrelevant.
The Masters · Augusta, GA
Augusta National
Par 72 · ~7,555 yards
Major
#1
SG: Approach
Top 50
Distance filter
91
Field size
Key model insight: Second-shot course with a distance threshold. Approach play is the #1 predictor by a wide margin. Putting rank is nearly irrelevant. The market consistently overweights it.
Miami Championship · Doral, FL
Blue Monster at Doral
Par 72 · ~7,800 yards
Guide live
#1
SG: Off the Tee
Top 30
Dist. required
$20M
Purse
Key model insight: Distance-first course at nearly 7,800 yards. Power is mandatory, not optional. Four par 5s separate the long hitters from everyone else. Small-green specialists are structural fades outright.
Truist Championship · Charlotte, NC
Quail Hollow Club
Par 71 · ~7,521 yards
Guide live
#1
SG: T2G
Top 50
Dist. required
$20M
Purse
Key model insight: Power-and-precision course defined by the Green Mile closing stretch. Distance is the entry ticket. Rory McIlroy has four wins here — the prototypical profile.
PGA Championship · Newtown Square, PA
Aronimink Golf Club
Par 70 · ~7,300 yards
Major
#1
SG: Approach
4
Par 3s
Par 70
Major setup
Key model insight: Donald Ross push-up greens demand approach precision and elite scrambling. Par 70 with four par 3s — power premium is limited. Distance-only players are structural fades.
The Players Championship · Ponte Vedra, FL
TPC Sawgrass
Par 72 · 7,255 yards
Coming soon
#1
SG: Approach
Low
Distance weight
144
Field size
Precision iron play dominates. Island 17th creates outsized variance. Guide coming before The Players 2027.
Arnold Palmer Invitational · Orlando, FL
Bay Hill Club
Par 72 · 7,466 yards
Coming soon
#1
SG: Approach
Mid
Distance weight
120
Field size
Wind and water make Bay Hill one of the hardest tracks on Tour. Approach play around the par-3 17th is decisive.
AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am · Pebble Beach, CA
Pebble Beach Golf Links
Par 72 · 7,075 yards
Coming soon
#1
SG: Approach
High
Putting weight
156
Field size
Ocean wind makes Pebble unique. Approaches into firm greens with coastal exposure — one of the rare venues where putting matters more than average.
Valero Texas Open · San Antonio, TX
TPC San Antonio (Oaks)
Par 72 · 7,494 yards
Coming soon
#1
SG: Approach
Mid
Distance weight
156
Field size
Wind-affected Texas venue. Approach play has been the consistent #1 predictor across every data window. Guide coming before Valero 2027.
U.S. Open · Rotating venues
U.S. Open Profile
Par 70–71 · 7,400+ yards
Coming soon
#1
Ball-striking
High
Accuracy weight
156
Field size
USGA setup: thick rough, narrow fairways, firm greens. Precision trumps distance. Unique among majors for rewarding accuracy off the tee.
Schwab Challenge · Fort Worth, TX
Colonial Country Club
Par 70 · 7,289 yards
Guide live
#1
SG: Approach
27 yds
Fairway width
Par 70
2 par 5s only
Key model insight: Distance is nearly irrelevant at Par 70 with only 2 par 5s. Third-narrowest fairways on Tour. SG: Approach at 32% model weight — highest of any course in the model. Renovated 2023-24 by Gil Hanse; pre-2022 results carry diminished weight.
CJ Cup Byron Nelson · McKinney, TX
TPC Craig Ranch
Par 71 · 7,385 yards
Guide live
#1
SG: Approach
$25M
2025 renovation
3
Par 5s (post-reno)
Key model insight: Complete $25M redesign in 2025. New bentgrass greens, repositioned bunkers. No longer bomb-and-gouge — approach precision now co-leads the model with OTT. Scoring floor remains low but the winner profile changed post-renovation.
Memorial Tournament · Dublin, OH
Muirfield Village
Par 72 · 7,569 yards
Guide live
#1
SG: Approach
TOP 50
Scrambling filter
$20M
Purse
Key model insight: Jack Nicklaus design rebuilt in 2021. Penal rough, tiny bentgrass greens, and a brutal closing stretch. Par-5 scoring is the only reliable birdie source — distance off the tee is below average importance despite the 7,569-yard setup. Precision wins here.

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