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Analysis · Wyndham Championship 2026 · Sedgefield Country Club · Aug 6–9
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Sedgefield Country Club · Greensboro, North Carolina

WyndhamChampionship.

Sedgefield Country Club · Par 70 · 7,131 Yards · Aug 6–9, 2026

The 2026 Wyndham Championship closes the PGA Tour's regular season at Sedgefield Country Club, a Donald Ross parkland design that hasn't changed structurally since a 2007 restoration. Just 25 acres of fairway and thick Bermuda rough make this a positional course, not a power course — the 18th, a 507-yard closer, plays as a par 4 for the tournament even though it's a par 5 on the member card, which is where the tournament's par 70 comes from. Small, contoured Ross greens reward precise iron play and put a premium on wedge distances between 100 and 150 yards, an unusually large share of this course's approach shots.

01 — Course Overview

Sedgefield fingerprint.

Sedgefield Country Club plays to a par 70 at 7,131 yards for the 2026 Wyndham Championship (verified directly against pgatour.com's own course-stats page). Members play the course to par 71 — the 18th is a par 5 on the member card, set up as a demanding par 4 for tournament week. The course is a Donald Ross design last structurally restored in 2007 (architect Kris Spence, $3M, ten months), and nothing material has changed since.

What stats matter this week: SG: Approach carries the single heaviest weight in the model, with SG: Putting and the course-fit approach component close behind — a tight, tree-lined course with small greens rewards precision over power. Driving distance is the lowest-weighted primary factor in the model this week.

Par 70
2026
setup
7,131
Yards
25
Fairway
acres
8
Short Par-4s
400-450y
500
FedExCup
points
2026 course status — no material change
Checked specifically, not assumed: the last structural work at Sedgefield was the 2007 Kris Spence restoration. No green rebuilds, tee relocations, or routing changes since. Course History and Course Experience are weighted at a modest 2% each this week — not because of any course change, but because softer forecast conditions and a shifting field dilute how much recent Sedgefield form actually predicts.

Conditions this week: wind running 9-12 mph with gusts up to 31 mph, temperatures 69-95°F, and three days in the tournament window carrying meaningful rain risk. Softer greens from that rain should reward aggressive iron play over pure scrambling, and shift edge toward approach players over short-game specialists.

Historical winning scores: Wyndham Championship winners at Sedgefield have finished between -15 and -22 over the last five playings (full table in Section 03 below), a wider spread than most positional courses — the winning number here moves more with weather and setup firmness than the underlying player profile does.

02 — Predictive Stats

What the data says actually matters.

SG: Approach (20%), SG: Putting (12%), and the course-fit approach component (12%) combine for nearly half the model's total weight this week — small, well-defended Ross greens make ball-striking precision the top differentiator at Sedgefield. Driving Distance Fit sits at just 3%, reflecting that length has not been the separator in recent Wyndham Championships.

SG: Approach
20%
SG: Putting
12%
Course-Fit Approach
12%
SG: Around the Green
10%
Course-Fit Short Game
8%
Driving Accuracy Fit
8%
SG: Off the Tee
7%
Proximity 100-150 FW
6%
Scrambling %
4%
Driving Distance Fit
3%
Proximity 150-200 FW
3%
Greens in Regulation %
3%
Course History
2%
Course Experience
2%
#1 — SG: Approach (20% weight)
Small, well-defended Ross greens make ball-striking precision the top differentiator at Sedgefield. Winner DNA gate: SG: Approach ≥ -0.05 (Data Golf scale) — a clearly below-average approach game is disqualifying regardless of everything else.
#2 — SG: Putting (12% weight)
Small, subtly breaking Bermuda greens reward strong putters more than a typical Tour stop. Winner DNA gate: SG: Putting ≥ -0.10.
#2 (tied) — Course-Fit Approach Component (12% weight)
Data Golf's course-fit approach data captures how a player's iron dispersion suits Sedgefield's tight green targets specifically, beyond a raw SG:Approach number alone.
Course History & Course Experience (2% each) — a field-strength discount, not a course-change one
Unlike a course coming off a renovation, Sedgefield hasn't changed — see Section 01. These two factors sit at a modest 2% each this week specifically because softer forecast conditions and a shifting FedExCup-bubble field dilute how predictive past Sedgefield form actually is, not because the course itself is unfamiliar.
03 — Course History

Who has won here.

Sedgefield Country Club has hosted the Wyndham Championship every year since the event returned to the course in 2008. Winning scores over the last five playings range from -15 to -22 — a wider spread than most positional courses, moving more with weather and setup firmness than the underlying winner profile does.

YearWinnerScoreTo ParMargin
2025Cameron Young258-226 strokes
2024Aaron Rai262-182 strokes
2023Lucas Glover260-202 strokes
2022Tom Kim260-205 strokes
2021Kevin Kisner265-15Playoff (6-man)

Every one of the last five champions is an accurate ball-striker, not a power-first player — that consistency in profile matters more than the exact winning number, which is why course history still carries real (if modest) weight in this week's model — see Section 02.

04 — Model Output

Top model outputs.

Composite scores from the StrokesEdge Sedgefield Country Club regression. Weights: SG:APP (20%), SG:PUTT (12%), Course-Fit Approach (12%), SG:ARG (10%), Course-Fit Short Game (8%), Driving Accuracy Fit (8%), plus 8 secondary factors down to Course Experience (2%). All inputs from Data Golf's 2026 season data, blended 60/40 with a computed L30-day recent-form window.

The L2 filter requires SG: Approach ≥ -0.05, Driving Accuracy Fit ≥ -0.15, SG: Putting ≥ -0.10, and Scrambling % ≥ 50. 47 of 136 scored players clear all four gates. The top three model outputs are shown below.

RkPlayerScoreAPPPUTTARGEdgeL2
1 Ben Kohles 82.9 +0.593 +0.236 +0.074 +2.40% PASS
2 Hideki Matsuyama 78.1 +0.559 +0.238 +0.659 -1.09% PASS
3 Tom Kim 76.6 +1.029 -0.031 +0.185 -0.64% PASS

47 of 136 scored players clear every L2 gate (11 additional players sit on the Watch List, outside regression, for insufficient Data Golf sample). The full ranked field, L3 value screen against sportsbook odds, complete picks card, fades, and DFS lineups are in the Substack newsletter.

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